A System Dynamics Model for Urban Low-Carbon Transport and Simulation in the City of Shanghai, China

نویسندگان

  • Xinghui Lei
  • Jianhui Zhang
  • Jinliang Li
چکیده

Abstract Urban transport plays an important role in low-carbon eco-city and energy conservation and emission reduction in the transport sector. Urban low-carbon transport system is a complex dynamic system including society, economy, motor vehicles, cars, transport infrastructure and other factors. This paper analyzes the complex dynamics relationship through building an urban low-carbon transport system. Taking Shanghai as a case to simulate the urban low-carbon system, and the result suggests rapid increase of private cars is an important driver factor of carbon emissions. So, it is important to strengthen urban transport demand management and improve the urban transport structure in building urban low-carbon transport.

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تاریخ انتشار 2012